| Description |
1 online resource (xii, 288 pages) : illustrations, (some color), maps |
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text txt rdacontent |
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computer n rdamedia |
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online resource nc rdacarrier |
| Note |
"January 2015." |
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Title from title screen (viewed June 30, 2015). |
| Bibliography |
Includes bibliographical references (pages [253]-282) and index. |
| Contents |
Introduction, Dr. John T. Ackerman and Dr. Kathleen Mahoney-Norris. -- "Mercenarizing" the US government, Maj Kelvin S. Fan. -- Western Europe's future role in US international relations, Lt Col Kelly L. Varitz. -- Accounting for human information processing, Lt Col Lourdes M. Duvall. -- Arctic security: an adaptive approach for a changing climate, Lt Col Christopher S. Kean and Cdr David C. Kneale. -- Catastrophe on the horizon: future effects of orbital space debris, Lt Col Jack Donahue. -- Waste to watts and water, Lt Col Amanda S. Birch. -- How to fuel the future of airpower, Maj Yvonne Carrico Gurnick. -- Conclusion, Dr. John T. Ackerman and Dr. Kathleen Mahoney-Norris. -- Appendices. |
| Summary |
The environment surrounding US national security is complex and ever-evolving. As the world changes, the challenge becomes recognizing and bringing research to bear on these emerging trends. As the new trends emerge, some clearly signal threats to US security while others preview opportunities to enhance US national security. Identification, evaluation, and analysis of these trends are essential if security professionals are to be prepared for an uncertain future. The case studies in this book provide discussion and debate fodder for those interested in preparing for that uncertain future. The study of the future involves many different tools and techniques; selected futures research methods are employed in this volume. Scenario planning techniques analyzed and evaluated some cases. One case uses relevance trees to illuminate connections, linkages, and critical relationships. Other case studies relied upon classic problem-solution methods to investigate new potential national security dilemmas. The sheer complexity of the emerging trends makes reliance on and application of one method untenable and unreliable. As a result, multiple methods have been utilized successfully to expose the inherent multifaceted characteristics of these entirely plausible futures. |
| Subject |
National security -- United States -- Forecasting.
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Military art and science -- Forecasting.
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Twenty-first century -- Forecasts.
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Military art and science -- Forecasting.
(OCoLC)fst01020897
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National security -- Forecasting.
(OCoLC)fst01033722
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Twenty-first century. (OCoLC)fst01159816
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United States. (OCoLC)fst01204155
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| Genre/Form |
Forecasts. (OCoLC)fst01424052
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| Added Author |
Ackerman, John T., 1956- editor.
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Mahoney-Norris, Kathleen, editor.
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Air University (U.S.). Air Force Research Institute, issuing body.
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| Added Title |
Future trends and United States national security |
| Other Form: |
Print version: Future Trends and US National Security (DLC) 2014016190 (OCoLC)878667890 |
| Gpo Item No. |
0422-K (online) |
| Sudoc No. |
D 301.26/6:SE 2 |
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