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Author Sandhu, Rimple, author.

Title Bayesian state-space modeling framework for understanding and predicting golden eagle movements using telemetry data / Rimple Sandhu [and eleven others].

Publication Info. [Golden, Colo.] : NREL, [2021]

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Description 1 online resource (14 pages) : color illustrations.
text txt rdacontent
computer c rdamedia
online resource cr rdacarrier
Series NREL/PR ; 5000-81236
NREL/PR ; 5000-81236.
Note "Raptor Research Foundation Annual Conference, October 2021."
Funding DE-AC36-08GO28308.
Note Description based on online resource; title from PDF title page (NREL, viewed Dec. 20, 2022).
Summary Predicting raptor movements through a wind power plant under given atmospheric and topographical conditions is a crucial first step in the overall goal of quantifying the risk of turbine-related collisions and mortalities. Extracting behavioral traits of golden eagles (Aquila chrysaetos) from telemetry data requires the fusion of noisy and sparse movement data (location, heading, velocity) with a stochastic mathematical representation of the eagles' decision-making processes. In this study, we framed this problem in a Bayesian state-space framework where both observations and decision-making are assumed to be stochastic processes connected through hidden states (mode of flight, intent), and the unknown model parameters are assumed to be random variables that are calibrated using the available telemetry data. This framework allowed for rigorous consideration of underlying uncertainties while allowing for both data and prior biological knowledge to contribute to a probabilistic and predictive agent-based movement model. We implemented and applied the Bayesian framework to understand movement behavior of 23 GPS-tagged golden eagles travelling in the western US for years 2019 and 2020. Our preliminary findings show that the Bayesian state-space framework provides a robust inverse modeling apparatus to decode eagle behavioral characteristics from telemetry data. This study was primarily aimed at verifying and validating the framework with selected golden eagle tracks (both long- and short-ranged), with future research aimed at extending the framework to include multi-mode flight, consideration of atmospheric data and uplift mechanisms, eagle-to-eagle interaction, and eagle-to-turbine interaction.
Subject Golden eagle -- Migration -- Mathematical models.
Wind turbine bird strikes -- Prevention.
Wind turbines -- Environmental aspects.
Aigle royal -- Migration -- Modèles mathématiques.
Wind turbines -- Environmental aspects
Indexed Term Bayesian modeling
golden eagles
raptor conservation
telemetry data
turbine collisions
wind-wildlife interaction
Added Author United States. Department of Energy, sponsoring body.
National Renewable Energy Laboratory (U.S.), issuing body.
Standard No. 1840710 OSTI ID
0000-0003-4415-7694
0000-0002-8445-5840
0000-0001-7401-8017
0000-0003-3853-7500
Gpo Item No. 0430-P-09 (online)
Sudoc No. E 9.22:NREL/PR-5000-81236

 
    
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