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Author Vimmerstedt, Laura, author.

Title Dynamic modeling of learning in emerging energy industries : the example of advanced biofuels in the United States, preprint / Laura J. Vimmerstedt and Brian W. Bush, Steven O. Peterson.

Publication Info. Golden, CO : National Renewable Energy Laboratory, 2015.


Location Call No. OPAC Message Status
 Axe Federal Documents Online  E 9.17:NREL/CP-6 A 20-60984    ---  Available
Description 1 online resource (24 pages) : color illustrations.
text txt rdacontent
computer c rdamedia
online resource cr rdacarrier
Series NREL/CP ; 6A20-60984
Conference paper (National Renewable Energy Laboratory (U.S.)) ; 6 A 20-60984.
Note Title from title screen (viewed Feb. 18, 2016).
"Presented at the 33rd International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, Cambridge, Massachusetts, July 19–23, 2015."
"September 2015."
Published through SciTech Connect.
Summary This paper (and its supplemental model) presents novel approaches to modeling interactions and related policies among investment, production, and learning in an emerging competitive industry. New biomass-to-biofuels pathways are being developed and commercialized to support goals for U.S. advanced biofuel use, such as those in the Energy Independence and Security Act of 2007. We explore the impact of learning rates and techno-economics in a learning model excerpted from the Biomass Scenario Model (BSM), developed by the U.S. Department of Energy and the National Renewable Energy Laboratory to explore the impact of biofuel policy on the evolution of the biofuels industry. The BSM integrates investment, production, and learning among competing biofuel conversion options that are at different stages of industrial development. We explain the novel methods used to simulate the impact of differing assumptions about mature industry techno-economics and about learning rates while accounting for the different maturity levels of various conversion pathways. A sensitivity study shows that the parameters studied (fixed capital investment, process yield, progress ratios, and pre-commercial investment) exhibit highly interactive effects, and the system, as modeled, tends toward market dominance of a single pathway due to competition and learning dynamics.
Bibliography Includes bibliographical references (pages 23-24).
Funding Sponsored by National Renewable Energy Laboratory AC36-08GO28308
Subject Biomass energy -- Government policy -- United States -- Congresses.
Energy policy -- United States -- Congresses.
Biomass Fuels.
Biomass energy -- Government policy. (OCoLC)fst00832541
Energy policy. (OCoLC)fst00910200
United States. (OCoLC)fst01204155
Genre/Form Conference papers and proceedings. (OCoLC)fst01423772
Added Author Bush, Brian W., author.
Peterson, Steven O., author.
National Renewable Energy Laboratory (U.S.) Researcher.
System Dynamics Society. International Conference, sponsoring body.
United States. Department of Energy. Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy. Sponsor.
United States. Department of Energy. Office of Scientific and Technical Information. Distributor.
Added Title Example of advanced biofuels in the United States
Gpo Item No. 0430-P-04 (online)
Sudoc No. E 9.17:NREL/CP-6 A 20-60984

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