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Print Material
Author Kavanagh, Jennifer, 1981-

Title Are U.S. military interventions contagious over time? : intervention timing and its implication for force planning / Jennifer Kavanagh.

Publication Info. Santa Monica, CA : RAND, [2013]

Copies

Location Call No. OPAC Message Status
 Axe JSTOR Open Ebooks  Electronic Book    ---  Available
Description 1 online resource
text rdacontent
computer rdamedia
online resource rdacarrier
Bibliography Includes bibliographical references.
Contents Preface -- Figures -- Tables -- Summary -- Intervention timing and temporal dependence -- Testing for temporal dependence -- Results -- Implications for force planning -- Acknowledgements -- Abbreviations -- Introduction -- Defining temporal dependence: a review of existing evidence -- What is temporal dependence? -- What does the literature say about intervention timing and temporal dependence? -- Interventions and timing -- Predictors of political instability -- Temporal dependence in financial markets -- Summary -- Testing for temporal interdependence -- Testing for temporal dependence -- Data and operationalization -- Interventions -- Political conflict -- Results -- What drives armed conflict? -- Testing for robustness: linear and ARIMA specifications -- Summary -- Is there temporal dependence between military deployments? -- Testing for robustness: linear and ARIMA specifications -- Summary -- Implications for force planning -- Will temporal dependence affect force requirements? -- Mechanisms of temporal dependence -- How can temporal dependence be integrated into the planning process? -- Assessing the relevance of temporal clustering -- Building temporal dependence into force planning -- Preventing clustered conflicts -- Conclusion and next steps.
Note Description based on print version record and CIP data provided by publisher.
Summary Current DoD force planning processes assume that U.S. military interventions are serially independent over time. This report challenges this assumption, arguing that interventions occur in temporally dependent clusters in which the likelihood of an intervention depends on interventions in the recent past. Integrating the concept of temporal dependence into DoD planning processes could help planners develop more appropriate force estimates.
Subject Military planning -- United States.
Intervention (International law)
United States -- Military policy -- Case studies.
Intervention (International law) -- Case studies.
Planification militaire -- États-Unis.
Intervention (Droit international)
Intervention (Droit international) -- Études de cas.
Intervention (International law)
Military planning
Military policy
United States
Genre/Form Case studies
Case studies.
Études de cas.
Other Form: Print version: Kavanagh, Jennifer, 1981- Are U.S. military interventions contagious over time? Santa Monica, CA : RAND, [2013] 9780833079015 (DLC) 2013016406
ISBN 9780833079039 (epub)
0833079034
9780833079053 (prc)
0833079050
9780833079046 ( ebook PDF)
0833079042
9780833079015 (pbk. : alk. paper)
Standard No. AU@ 000050881327
AU@ 000053297670
CHNEW 000641391
DEBBG BV043036159
DEBBG BV044177776
DEBSZ 429970919
GBVCP 1008658634
GBVCP 800232933
NZ1 15348700
AU@ 000075798662

 
    
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