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Author

Lempert, Robert J.

Title Shaping the next one hundred years : new methods for quantitative, long-term policy analysis and bibliography / Robert J. Lempert, Steven W. Popper, Steven C. Bankes.

Imprint

Santa Monica, CA : RAND, 2003.

Connect to
Connect to https://pittstate.idm.oclc.org/login?url=https://www.jstor.org/stable/10.7249/mr1626rpc

Copies

Location	Call No.	OPAC Message	Status
Axe JSTOR Open Ebooks	Electronic Book	---	Available

Description	1 online resource (xxi, 187 pages)
	text txt rdacontent
	computer c rdamedia
	online resource cr rdacarrier
	data file rda
Note	"MR-1626."
	Print version record.
Summary	The checkered history of predicting the future-e.g., "Man will never fly"--Has dissuaded policymakers from considering the long-term effects of decisions. New analytic methods, enabled by modern computers, transform our ability to reason about the future. The authors here demonstrate a quantitative approach to long-term policy analysis (LTPA). Robust methods enable decisionmakers to examine a vast range of futures and design adaptive strategies to be robust across them. Using sustainable development as an example, the authors discuss how these methods apply to LTPA and a wide range of decis.
Contents	Cover; PREFACE; CONTENTS; FIGURES; TABLES; SUMMARY; ACKNOWLEDGMENTS; ABBREVIATIONS; Chapter One; Chapter Two; Chapter Three; Chapter Four; Chapter Five; Chapter Six; Chapter Seven; Appendix A; Appendix B; BIBLIOGRAPHY;
Bibliography	Includes bibliographical references.
Subject	System analysis.
	Decision making.
	Information technology.
	Systems Analysis
	Decision Making
	Analyse de systèmes.
	Prise de décision.
	Technologie de l'information.
	systems analysis.
	decision making.
	information technology.
	POLITICAL SCIENCE -- Public Policy -- General.
	TRANSPORTATION -- General.
	Decision making
	Information technology
	System analysis
Indexed Term	Samfundsvidenskab Politologi.
Added Author	Popper, Steven W., 1953-
	Bankes, Steven C.
In:	Books at JSTOR: Open Access. JSTOR
Other Form:	Print version: Lempert, Robert J. Shaping the next one hundred years. Santa Monica, CA : RAND, 2003 (DLC) 2003012438
ISBN	0833034855 (electronic bk.)
	9780833034854 (electronic bk.)
	9780833032751
	0833032755
	1282451413
	9781282451414
Report No.	RAND/MR-1626-RPC
Standard No.	AU@ 000053232528
	DEBBG BV043163936
	DEBSZ 422391239
	GBVCP 1008653438
	GBVCP 803079044
	NZ1 14234676
	AU@ 000051343410
	AU@ 000061155472
	DEBBG BV044078088
	DEBSZ 449062953
	DKDLA 820120-katalog:999938210605765
	AU@ 000054171408