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E-Book/E-Doc

Title Estimating terrorism risk / Henry H. Willis [and others].

Imprint Santa Monica, CA : RAND, 2005.

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Location Call No. OPAC Message Status
 Axe JSTOR Open Ebooks  Electronic Book    ---  Available
Description 1 online resource (xxiii, 66 pages) : illustrations
text txt rdacontent
computer c rdamedia
online resource cr rdacarrier
Physical Medium polychrome. rdacc http://rdaregistry.info/termList/RDAColourContent/1003
Description data file
Series Rand Corporation monograph series
Rand Corporation monograph series.
Note "MG-388-RC"--Page 4 of cover
Bibliography Includes bibliographical references (pages 63-66).
Contents Introduction -- Terrorism risk and its components -- Accounting for uncertainty and values in terrorism risk assessment -- Two approaches to estimating terrorism risk in urban areas -- Evaluating the performance of different estimates of terrorism risk -- Conclusions and recommendations.
Note Print version record.
Summary The Department of Homeland Security (DHS) is responsible for protecting the United States from terrorism. It achieves this goal partly through the Urban Areas Security Initiative, which allocates resources to states and urban areas. Until DHS can know the effectiveness of available risk-reduction alternatives or determine reasonable minimum standards for community preparedness, allocating homeland security resources based on risk is the next best approach; areas at higher risk are likely to have more and larger opportunities for risk reduction than areas at lower risk. This monograph offers a method for constructing an estimate of city risk shares, designed to perform well across a wide range of threat scenarios and risk types. It also proposes and demonstrates a framework for comparing the performance of alternative risk estimates given uncertainty in measuring the elements of risk. Finally, it makes five recommendations for improving the allocation of homeland security resources: DHS should consistently define terrorism risk in terms of expected annual consequences; DHS should seek robust risk estimators that account for uncertainty about terrorism risk and variance in citizen values; DHS should develop event-based models of terrorism risk; until reliable event-based models are constructed, DHS should use density-weighted population rather than population as a simple risk indicator; and DHS should fund research to bridge the gap between terrorism risk assessment and resource allocation policies that are cost-effective.
Subject Terrorism -- United States -- Prevention.
Terrorism -- Risk assessment -- United States.
Federal aid to terrorism prevention -- United States -- Planning.
Social sciences.
Social Sciences
Terrorisme -- Évaluation du risque -- États-Unis.
Aide de l'État à la prévention du terrorisme -- États-Unis -- Planification.
Sciences sociales.
social sciences.
POLITICAL SCIENCE -- Political Freedom & Security -- Law Enforcement.
Terrorism -- Prevention
United States https://id.oclc.org/worldcat/entity/E39PBJtxgQXMWqmjMjjwXRHgrq
Added Author Willis, Henry H.
Rand Corporation.
In: Books at JSTOR: Open Access JSTOR
Other Form: Print version: Estimating terrorism risk. Santa Monica, CA : RAND, 2005 0833038346 9780833038340 (DLC) 2005024093 (OCoLC)61453898
ISBN 9780833040930 (electronic bk.)
0833040936 (electronic bk.)
9780833040886 (electronic bk.)
083304088X (electronic bk.)
0833038346 (pbk. ; alk. paper)
9780833038340 (pbk. ; alk. paper)
Report No. RAND/MG-388-RC
Standard No. AU@ 000048835165
AU@ 000051323935
AU@ 000053247214
DEBBG BV043087790
DEBBG BV044158180
DEBSZ 397144326
DEBSZ 422197629
GBVCP 1008649716
GBVCP 802305822
NZ1 12045627

 
    
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